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Trends in Telecommunication Reform 2016:
new edition of ITU’s flagship ICT regulatory report
From IoT and interoperability to new models for stimulating broadband roll-out
Geneva, 5 April 2016
– The latest edition of ITU’s annual global ICT regulatory report,
Trends in Telecommunication Reform
2016, charts and analyzes the
challenges and opportunities facing today’s ICT regulators as services proliferate, platforms converge and network operators ready their infrastructure for
the next round of data-intensive technologies, from 5G mobile to the Internet of Things (IoT).
The world’s most comprehensive overview of ICT policy and regulatory trends, ITU’s Trends in Telecommunication Reform 2016 brings together
insights from a broad range of leading global experts to help regulators, ICT analysts and tech journalists gain a deeper understanding of the issues
facing an increasingly broad array of ICT players – and consumers.
New ICT goods and services are bringing with them enormous social and economic disruption. But while there are many benefits to be reaped, the report
highlights regulatory challenges that must be addressed to preserve the ‘level playing field’ considered essential to competition and innovation. With the
theme of ‘exploring regulatory incentives to achieve digital opportunities’, the report emphasizes the growing importance of flexible, light-touch,
technology-neutral regulatory principles which stimulate market growth while protecting the rights of consumers and encouraging new entrants.
“Information and communication technologies are now all-pervasive and will be central to helping the world meet all 17 Sustainable Development Goals. The
role of ICT regulators in creating an enabling environment for ICT growth and development has never been more critical,” said Houlin Zhao, ITU
Secretary-General. “ITU’s annual Trends in Telecommunication Reform report supports regulators around the world to put the right policies in place
for their national markets.”
“To realize the full potential of the digital economy, policy-makers and regulators have a key role to play in building policy and regulatory environments
in which new technologies can flourish,” said Brahima Sanou, Director of ITU’s Telecommunication Development Bureau. “This 16th annual edition of Trends in Telecommunication Reform focuses on regulatory incentives to achieve digital opportunities which I believe upholds the ultimate goal of
regulators: serving consumers.”
Watch short video interviews with experts on today’s compelling
regulatory challenges
Key findings of the 2016 edition:
Broadband investment
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Capital expenditures on fibre infrastructure are expected to surpass USD 144.2 billion between 2014 - 2019.
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More than 40 operators have launched or are planning LTE-A deployments worldwide; 88% of these operators are in developed markets.
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The rise in consumer data consumption may spur more Wi-Fi investment.
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Increasing numbers of existing operators, new entrants and financiers are developing alternative funding approaches for broadband network investments.
- Investment in broadband infrastructure is also coming from more unlikely institutions such as hedge funds or corporates that do not traditionally invest
in telecoms infrastructure.
Network Sharing
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When network coverage becomes less of a competitive differentiator, operators may need to consolidate networks (through network sharing) as a means of
moving away from infrastructure investment and towards developing innovative services.
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Governments currently allocate spectrum mainly on a dedicated basis. New dynamic spectrum access (DSA) technologies allow devices to use spectrum where
it is not being used in a particular geographic area, or at a particular time.
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Network sharing can have many benefits but is not without risks, which can include: reduction in competitive intensity; potential for collusive dealing
and information sharing; and reduced options for services-based competitors.
IoT
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The mobile industry association GSMA predicts between 1 - 2 billion M2M connections by 2020. Some experts believe that the market for IoT devices will
grow exponentially, resulting in over USD 1.7 trillion in value added to the global economy by 2019.
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The simplest IoT technology -- passive RFID tagging -- is already widespread in retail, transit ticketing and access control. Near-Field Communication
(NFC) is now included in newer smart phones, enabling applications such as contactless payments.
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More complex M2M systems can send information over cellular networks. Examples include electricity metre readings sent to energy companies and car airbag
deployment notifications sent to emergency services. Literally hundreds of millions of M2M systems are being deployed around the world.
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IoT technical standards have evolved from a variety of different applications and stakeholders with different aims and requirements, and more work is
needed to integrate different standards frameworks. A uniform network of “things” is unlikely to develop in the medium term. Smart meters are unlikely to
communicate directly with heart-rate monitors, or recipe planners. Some networks will use public infrastructure, others will be entirely private. Some
applications will have high bandwidth and interactivity requirements (such as video surveillance), others may focus on transferring short bursts of
information (such as smart meters).
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For IoT to become a truly ubiquitous technology, the cost of tags, sensors and communication systems need to fall to a level where they are a very small
fraction of the total costs of the objects to which they are attached, with readers also made easily available. Even the cheapest (printed) tags, known as
Quick Response (QR) codes, have not yet generated high responses in consumer-targeted marketing campaigns.
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High reliability levels also become important in large-scale systems that can include thousands of sensors, devices and readers. Without adequate
security, intruders can break into IoT systems and networks, accessing potentially sensitive personal information about users and using vulnerable devices
to attack local networks and other devices. IoT system operators and others with authorized access are also in a position to “collect, analyse, and act
upon copious amounts of data from within traditionally private spaces.”
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A further privacy issue relates to the amount of personal information that can be derived from seemingly innocuous sensor data, especially when it is
combined with user profiles and data from other sources.
Interoperability
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The concept of ‘interoperability’ is much broader than just technical compatibility, with implications across all four key levels – technological, data,
human and institutional.
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Systems can increase interoperability by:
- providing greater opportunities for technical interconnection;
- being more open about the types of systems and services that can interconnect;
- supporting a greater variety of data; and by
- making it easier for humans to leverage the interconnections.
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Interop can also increase opportunities to exploit the system. A system that has more points of access allows (1) more types of systems to connect, (2)
processes data with fewer limitations (3) increases potential attack vectors and (4) creates more opportunities for nefarious actors to exploit data or to
inject bad code.
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Increased levels of interoperability tend to enhance user choice and autonomy.
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Interoperability is not an end in itself, and doesn’t always have to be maximized. Instead, private actors and regulators must work carefully to optimize
the level of interop necessary to meet their objectives.
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Interop challenges include:
- increased complexity of interoperable systems, which may lead to decreased reliability, with downstream systems increasing reliant on upstream systems
- Increased homogeneity and less market diversity
- Decreased privacy because of a rising number of individuals with access to one’s personal information
- Threats to business models – as higher levels of interop are distributed unequally across a market. Some businesses may have a vested interest in
maintaining lower levels of interop, allowing them to benefit from customer lock-in.
Video: experts speak on key regulatory challenges
Sofie Maddens
, ITU’s Head, Regulatory and Market Environment, on 2016’s top tech trends
Professor Ian Brown
of Oxford Internet Institute on the Internet of Things
Nancy Sundberg
, Senior Programme Officer with ITU, on broadband regulation
Read a blog
by Professor Urs Gasser, Harvard Law School, on regulation and interoperability
Downloadable photos of this year’s report cover
Note to Media:
ITU-accredited journalists can obtain a free PDF copy of the Trends in Telecommunication Report by contacting
pressinfo@itu.int
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Trends in Telecommunication Reform 2016
is available in paper, PDF, e-book and ‘PDF-accessible’ formats.
For more information, please contact:
Sarah Parkes
Chief, Media Relations and Public Information, ITU
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Monica Albertini
Communications Officer, ITU Telecommunication Development Bureau
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