Page 29 - Turning digital technology innovation into climate action
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Turning digital technology innovation into climate action




                   ITU’s effort is especially timely, as all these frontier technologies are to a degree interrelated,
                   especially in their integration with, or reliance on, the Internet of Things (IoT), Artificial   Chapter 2
                   Intelligence (AI), 5G and Big Data. While the concept of many of today’s emerging technologies
                   has been around for some time, it is especially due to IoT and the wider adoption of ICTs
                   that it is now becoming feasible to implement them on larger scales.
                   Therefore, further researching and guiding the affordable and wide-scale deployment of
                   these ‘enabler’ and core building-block ICTs will assure further advancement and adoption
                   of other emerging technologies, which may help to engineer innovative climate solutions
                   in the areas of monitoring, adaptation and mitigation.




               2.3    The Limitations of AI and ML

               As mentioned in Box 2, however, limitations do remain with regard to the carbon footprint of AI and
               machine learning (ML).       AI and ML, like most technology, have the potential to help in the fight
                                   28 29 30
               against climate change. They can make systems more efficient (e.g. by preventing electricity loss during
               transmission), enable remote sensing and automatic monitoring (e.g. pinpointing deforestation,
               gathering data on buildings, and tracking personal energy use), provide fast approximations to time-
               intensive simulations (e.g. climate models and energy scheduling models) and also have the potential
               to lead to interpretable or causal models (e.g. for understanding weather patterns, informing policy
               makers and planning for disasters).

               It has been estimated, for instance, that ‘using AI for environmental applications could boost the
               global economy by up to $ 5.2 trillion (USD) in 2030, a 4.4 per cent increase on the business-as-usual
               scenario, while reducing GHG emissions worldwide by 4 per cent, equivalent to the 2030 annual
               emissions of Australia, Canada and Japan combined.’ 31

               The efficacy of ML and AI will, however, rely on bringing together several factors, including ensuring
               their effective integration with other technologies and – because they require large amounts of
               computing power – decarbonisation of the energy system to ensure that AI and ML can fulfil their
               sustainability potential. This is imperative, as new studies are showing that typical current ML
               processes can ‘emit more than 626 000 pounds of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO e) – nearly five
                                                                                     2
               times the lifetime emissions of the average American car (and that includes the manufacture of the
               car itself)’. 32
               Specifically, these studies have examined ‘the model training process for natural-language processing
               (NLP), the subfield of AI that focuses on teaching machines to handle human language. In the last
               two years, the NLP community has reached several noteworthy performance milestones in machine


               28   Rolnick, David, et al. ‘Tackling Climate Change with Machine Learning.’ ArXiv.org, Cornell University, arxiv .org/ pdf/ 1906
                  .05433 .pdf.
               29   Scott, Mike. ‘AI Will Be A Vital Tool in Making the Global Economy More Sustainable and Efficient - PwC.’ Forbes
                  Magazine, Forbes Media LLC, 23 Apr. 2019, www .forbes .com/ sites/ mikescott/ 2019/ 04/ 23/ ai -will -be -a -vital -tool -in
                  -making -the -global -economy -more -sustainable -and -efficient -pwc/ #573e61cb4ce7.
               30   Hao, Karen. ‘Training a Single AI Model Can Emit as Much Carbon as Five Cars in Their Lifetimes.’ MIT Technology
                  Review, 7 Jun. 2019, www .technologyreview .com/ s/ 613630/ training -a -single -ai -model -can -emit -as -much -carbon
                  -as -five -cars -in -their -lifetimes/ ?utm _campaign = site _visitor .unpaid .engagement & utm _source = hs _email & utm
                  _medium = email & utm _content = 7 3608463 & _hsenc = p2ANqtz - -j9p83piXI m9fiL7riodfQuQX0XOkswkP4qgMHSe
                  _NJI3GIxGsHMPZsEsVt2YyzyC0TqVKV7Zh0by -TudcURQa5bnoKw & _hsmi = 73608464.
               31   Scott, Mike. ‘AI Will Be A Vital Tool in Making the Global Economy More Sustainable and Efficient - PwC.’ Forbes, Forbes
                  Magazine, 23 Apr. 2019, www .forbes .com/ sites/ mikescott/ 2019/ 04/ 23/ ai -will -be -a -vital -tool -in -making -the -global
                  -economy -more -sustainable -and -efficient -pwc/ #573e61cb4ce7.
               32   Hao, Karen. ‘Training a Single AI Model Can Emit as Much Carbon as Five Cars in Their Lifetimes.’ MIT Technology
                  Review, 7 Jun. 2019, www .technologyreview .com/ s/ 613630/ training -a -single -ai -model -can -emit -as -much -carbon
                  -as -five -cars -in -their -lifetimes/ ?utm _campaign = site _visitor .unpaid .engagement & utm _source = hs _email & utm
                  _medium = email & utm _content = 7 3608463 & _hsenc = p2ANqtz - -j9p83piXI m9fiL7riodfQuQX0XOkswkP4qgMHSe
                  _NJI3GIxGsHMPZsEsVt2YyzyC0TqVKV7Zh0by -TudcURQa5bnoKw & _hsmi = 73608464.



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