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AI for Good-Innovate for Impact



                      Use case – 48: AI boosted Interpretable Renewable Energy

                      Forecasting










                      Country: China

                      Organization:  Alibaba Damo (Hangzhou) Technology Co., Ltd.

                      Contact person: Yi Chen, (elaine.cy@ alibaba -inc .com, (86) 13605817921)


                      48�1� Use case summary table


                       Domain             Sustainable Energy; Power Systems
                       The problem to be  Deliver interpretable accurate day ahead wind power and rooftop
                       addressed          solar power forecasting to mitigate the intermittency and less reliability
                                          posed by booming capacity instalment of renewable energy.

                       Key aspects of the   AI-based methods to deliver accurate and interpretable renewable
                       solution           energy forecasting in an Asian city. The forecasting service covers all
                                          the wind plants and the rooftop photovoltaics within the area, alongside
                                          with an attribution analysis and error analysis.

                       Technology         CNNs and Conventional Tree-based models with large-scale automatic
                       keywords           feature augmentation, XAI

                       Data availability   Private
                       Metadata (type of   Tabular data, including measured power from wind turbines and solar
                       data)              panels; numerical weather predictions.
                       Model Training and  •   CNN and tree models.
                       fine-tuning        •   Temporal convolutional architecture, (time series)
                                          •   Use the standard choices for optimizers.
                                          •   We use Ray Tune for hyper-parameter tuning.

                       Testbeds or pilot   •   Electricity bureau in Chinese city.
                       deployments        •   enewable Energy Forecasting System for State Grid Zhejiang
                                              Electric Power Co. LTD. , Jiaxing Branch

                                          https:// doi .org/ 10 .1609/ aaai .v37i13 .26853
                                          https:// arxiv .org/ abs/ 2402 .05823


                      48�2� Use Case Description


                      48�2�1� Description

                      The booming capacity instalment of renewable energy such as wind power and photovoltaic
                      power in the past years have posed tremendous challenges to power grid scheduling and




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