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ITU-T Focus Group Digital Financial Services
                                                         Ecosystem



               6      Conclusions

               The industry and stakeholders have expressed concerns around OTC causing: Increased AML/CFT risks,
               decreased provider revenue, locking providers into the model, limiting product evolution, and creating volatility
               in market shares for the providers. As analysed in the previous sections, we conclude the following:

               •    Pure OTC and partial OTC lacking identification of either the sender, the recipient, or both, may increase
                    the risk of money laundering and terrorism financing. However, this should not mean that the regulators
                    should ban OTCs altogether. Instead, the regulators may formalise OTC transactions to ensure that both
                    the sender and the recipient (for a P2P transaction) can be identified. Also, the regulators should let the
                    market decide the nuances of the registration processes.
               •    OTC is often seen as limiting product evolution. However, OTC may be an appropriate tool to promote
                    adoption and familiarity with mobile money for early use cases. This approach does not preclude providers
                    from collecting data on the preferences and usage of the mobile money users during an initial period of
                    OTC. The data thus collected may be used to develop additional use cases around credit, savings, and
                    insurance and can be pushed through a mobile money account. The end users, thus having already been
                    familiarised with the early use cases, may be more compelled, and able, to register for an account.
               •    Industry experts argue that it is much harder to transition pure and partial OTC users to mobile money
                    accounts at a later stage, as the OTC users and agents become accustomed to OTC transactions. However,
                    it is noteworthy that most providers offering OTC also offer mobile money account registration at the same
                    time. For most providers, mobile money account use and OTC use grows in tandem. The industry-leading
                    numbers of account registrations in both Bangladesh and Pakistan, where OTC is prevalent, illustrate that
                    OTC does not prevent growth in account registrations.
               •    Registration for accounts is important for product evolution and building an ecosystem. However, in
                    some cases, depending upon the market conditions, registration campaigns may be most optimally
                    sequenced after launch, as it would allow providers to target specific user segments with tailored value
                    added services.
               •    Pure OTC transactions lead to a considerable reduction in profits for the providers because of higher
                    operational costs. However, it is compensated for by the fact that OTC models have resulted in an
                    increased number of transactions and is appealing enough for a segment of mobile money users who
                    are not interested in accounts.

               Table 3 – Stakeholder pros and cons

                  Stakeholder                  Pros                                 Cons
                Regulators and   OTC can catalyse uptake and access to finan-  If there is not a formalised methodology, as
                policy-makers  cial services, which is a common goal of   mobile money user identity is unknown, and
                               regulators. Further, allowing a formal method  informal ones especially could lead to AML/CFT
                               to exist can reduce the risks inherent in infor-  risks.
                               mal methods.

                Providers      In some markets, OTC may be an easy way to   For the subset of mobile money users that
                               grow usage quickly from the start, especially   would have made a mobile money account-
                               if the provider’s market share in their core   based transaction (as opposed to just not using
                               business is not dominant, and could be the   the system), there is a reduction in profits, as
                               only way of reaching early and late majority   OTC models are easier for competitors to copy
                               quickly.                             and could potentially start an agent commission
                                                                    war. In addition, it can be hard to transition
                                                                    from an OTC model to a mobile money account-
                                                                    based model.










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