 |
 |
 |
|
|
||
|
Telephone: +41 22 730 6039
Fax: +41 22 730 5939
E-mail: pressinfo@itu.int
The ITU estimates the number of satellites in orbit at 976 on 1 September 1997 – 819 in geostationary and 157 in non-geostationary orbits. Another 462 satellites have been notified but are yet to be brought into service (439 GSO and 23 non-GSO).
Market research conducted by Euroconsult in Paris provides figures for the future satellite market. It estimates the spending on GSO satellites at US$23 billion to US$29 billion for the period 1996-2006.
Market analysis by Teal Group of Fairfax, Virginia, predicts tht 273 commercial satellites will be launched in 1997-2006 with a value of US$37.8 billion. This represents a 27% increase over a market forecast done one year earlier, with the new satellites added to account for the many proposed Ka-band, broadband and multimedia satellites. A total market breakdown is given below.
Figures can be quoted by the media provided the source is given.
|
Number of satellites to be launched by orbit and type of satellite operator, 1997-2006 |
|||||||||||
|
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
Total |
|
|
Geostationary orbit (GEO) |
|||||||||||
|
Commercial |
42 |
43 |
40 |
36 |
21 |
17 |
16 |
5 |
6 |
10 |
236 |
|
Gov. Civil |
9 |
0 |
4 |
5 |
3 |
5 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
39 |
|
Other |
2 |
6 |
7 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
32 |
|
Total |
53 |
49 |
51 |
44 |
27 |
24 |
22 |
9 |
13 |
15 |
307 |
|
Medium-Earth orbit (MEO) |
|||||||||||
|
Commercial |
0 |
3 |
8 |
13 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
24 |
|
Gov. Civil |
2 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
|
Other |
3 |
4 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
42 |
|
Total |
5 |
8 |
13 |
19 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
72 |
|
Low-Earth orbit (LEO) |
|||||||||||
|
Commercial |
115 |
64 |
34 |
51 |
59 |
52 |
27 |
8 |
18 |
60 |
488 |
|
Gov. Civil |
24 |
19 |
26 |
20 |
21 |
19 |
13 |
24 |
6 |
8 |
180 |
|
Other |
13 |
6 |
7 |
6 |
6 |
7 |
7 |
1 |
4 |
2 |
59 |
|
Total |
152 |
89 |
67 |
77 |
86 |
78 |
47 |
33 |
28 |
70 |
727 |
|
Deep space missions |
|||||||||||
|
Gov. Civil |
5 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
32 |
| © Euroconsult 1996 | |||||||||||
|
Number of satellites to be launched by orbit and geographic origin of satellite operator 1997-2006 |
|||||||||||
|
1997 |
1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 |
2006 |
Total |
|
|
Geostationary orbit (GEO) |
|||||||||||
|
Africa/Middle East |
2 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
23 |
|
Asia Pacific |
17 |
13 |
10 |
10 |
5 |
5 |
5 |
4 |
5 |
7 |
81 |
|
International |
8 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
26 |
|
Latin America |
3 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
20 |
|
North America |
10 |
15 |
17 |
15 |
5 |
8 |
5 |
2 |
4 |
3 |
84 |
|
South Asia |
3 |
2 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
20 |
|
Western Europe |
10 |
8 |
8 |
6 |
7 |
5 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
53 |
|
Total |
53 |
49 |
51 |
44 |
27 |
24 |
22 |
9 |
13 |
15 |
307 |
|
Medium-Earth orbit (MEO) |
|||||||||||
|
Asia Pacific |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
|
International |
0 |
3 |
5 |
5 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
|
North America |
3 |
5 |
8 |
14 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
56 |
|
Western Europe |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
|
Total |
5 |
8 |
13 |
19 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
3 |
72 |
|
Low-Earth orbit (LEO) |
|||||||||||
|
Africa/Middle East |
1 |
0 |
5 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
|
Asia Pacific |
4 |
6 |
3 |
17 |
18 |
20 |
16 |
9 |
14 |
14 |
121 |
|
International |
2 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
|
Latin America |
4 |
1 |
9 |
6 |
9 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
|
North America |
135 |
76 |
43 |
48 |
17 |
14 |
12 |
11 |
11 |
51 |
418 |
|
South Asia |
2 |
1 |
1 |
4 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
16 |
|
Western Europe |
4 |
4 |
4 |
2 |
38 |
42 |
15 |
12 |
2 |
5 |
128 |
|
Total |
152 |
89 |
67 |
77 |
86 |
78 |
47 |
33 |
28 |
70 |
727 |
|
Deep space missions |
|||||||||||
|
Asia Pacific |
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
8 |
|
International |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
|
North America |
2 |
3 |
2 |
2 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
20 |
|
Western Europe |
0 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
|
Total |
5 |
4 |
3 |
3 |
4 |
3 |
2 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
32 |
|
Grand total |
215 |
150 |
134 |
143 |
122 |
110 |
77 |
49 |
48 |
90 |
1 138 |
| © Euroconsult 1996 | |||||||||||
This covers the 92 commercial geostationary satellite programmes forecast for 1997-2006
| Teal Group forecasts by programme | |
| Telecoms/broadcast satellites | 40 programmes, representing 117 satellites or US$14.6 billion in orders, would be for telecoms/broadcast satellites. |
| Direct to home television broadcasting | 36 programmes, representing 85 satellites worth US$10.9 billion, would be for direct to home television broadcasting. |
| Broadband multimedia | Seven programmes, representing 48 satellites with a US$8.7 billion value, would be for broadband multimedia. (This figure may be too conservative, considering the US$9 billion estimated cost for Teledesic's system alone, plus a US$13 billion estimate for Motorola's Celestri constellation, plus another 12-19 proposals from other firms that cost several hundred million or several billion dollars each). |
| Mobile communications | Nine programmes for mobile communications, including 23 satellites worth US$3.5 billion. |
| © Teal Group (1997) | |
| Teal Group forecasts by geographic region | |
| United States/ Canada | The United States and Canada account for 26 satellite programmes, 107 satellites and US$17.3 billion in value. |
| Asia and the Pacific Rim | In Asia and the Pacific Rim, 14 countries will sponsor 31 satellite programmes with 78 satellites valued at US$10.3 billion. |
| Europe | In Europe, nine countries have 14 satellite programmes and one regional organization, Eutelsat, with prospects for 32 new satellites valued at US$5.1 billion. |
| Internationally | Internationally, Teal counts two organizations, Inmarsat and Intelsat, plus five satellite programmes, for a potential 18 satellites worth US$1.9 billion. |
| Africa/ Middle East | In Africa and the Middle East, four countries have one regional organization, Arabsat, plus five satellite programmes with eight new satellites forecast, and a value of US$1.3 billion. |
| Latin America/Caribbean | Latin America and the Caribbean, with nine countries, has five satellite programmes with 10 satellites forecast, and a US$1.1 billion value. |
| Commonwealth of Independent States | The Commonwealth of Independent States includes one country, Russia, with six satellite programmes, and the potential for 20 new satellites valued at US$990 million. |
| © Teal Group (1997) | |