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 Monday, September 29, 2008

ITU estimates over 60 per cent penetration driven mainly by BRIC economies

Geneva, 25 September 2008 — ITU Secretary-General Hamadoun Touré announced in New York that worldwide mobile cellular subscribers are likely to reach the 4 billion mark before the end of this year.

Dr Touré was speaking at the high-level events on the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) in New York, where he also participated in UN Private Sector Forums addressing the global food crisis and the role of technological innovation in meeting the MDGs.

The MDGs were adopted following the United Nations Millennium Declaration by UN Member states in 2000, representing an international commitment to eradicate extreme poverty and hunger, achieve universal primary education, promote gender equality, reduce child mortality, improve maternal health, combat epidemics such as HIV/AIDS and malaria, ensure environmental sustainability, and develop a global partnership for development that would include making available the benefits of information and communication technologies. ICTs have been recognized as an important tool to achieve the MDGs.

Since the turn of the century, the growth of mobile cellular subscribers has been impressive, with year-on-year growth averaging 24 per cent between 2000 and 2008. While in 2000, mobile penetration stood at only 12 per cent, it surpassed the 50 per cent mark by early 2008. It is estimated to reach about 61 per cent by the end of 2008.

"The fact that 4 billion subscribers have been registered worldwide indicates that it is technically feasible to connect the world to the benefits of ICT and that it is a viable business opportunity," said Dr Touré. "Clearly, ICTs have the potential to act as catalysts to achieve the 2015 targets of the MDGs."

While the data shows impressive growth, ITU stresses that the figures need to be carefully interpreted. Although in theory a 61 per cent penetration rate suggests that at least every second person could be using a mobile phone, this is not necessarily the case. In fact, the statistics reflect the number of subscriptions, not persons.

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Source: ITU.

Monday, September 29, 2008 8:43:59 AM (W. Europe Standard Time, UTC+01:00)  #     | 
 Wednesday, September 24, 2008

Mexico has the second largest customer base in South America behind Brazil with 73.45m customers at the end of Q2 08. This is approximately the same size as the UK customer base, although the population of Mexico is almost twice that of the UK, with a figure of just under 110m. This yields a penetration figure of 66.8% at the end of the quarter, up from 57.1% a year earlier. Penetration has been increasing at a steady rate, and if there is no significant slowdown then the 75% mark should be reached during Q2 09.

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Source: Cellular News.

Wednesday, September 24, 2008 9:30:49 AM (W. Europe Standard Time, UTC+01:00)  #     | 
 Tuesday, September 23, 2008

As bandwidth consumption continues to grow, communications revenues over the next few years are expected see a 10% annual growth rate in the US reaching $1.3 trillion by 2011. However wireless technology will realize up to 34% annual growth in that same time period according to the Telecommunications Industry Association (TIA).

"The most significant telecommunications growth area will be in wireless over the next several years and this segment will more than triple annual the growth rate of telecommunications in general," said Tom Hemingway, CEO of NextPhase Wireless.

Meanwhile US landline revenues have fallen significantly from $228.4 billion in 2000 to $174.7 billion in 2007 and are expected to drop to $153 billion by the end of 2011, according to TIA in its published Market Review and Forecast. The TIA study combines the efforts of 100 market researchers across numerous fronts to deliver a forecast of the global telecommunications industry.

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Source: Cellular News.

Tuesday, September 23, 2008 3:39:37 PM (W. Europe Standard Time, UTC+01:00)  #     | 
 Friday, September 19, 2008

Brazil’s telecoms regulator Anatel said the country was home to 138.3 million active mobile lines at the end of August, up 2.25% or three million on the previous month, and the best monthly net gain so far this year. According to data published yesterday and reported by BNamericas, Brazil’s mobile operators have collectively added 17.4 million net new mobile lines so far this year. Local press suggest the strong rise in August is likely to have been driven by strong sales ahead of the national Father’s Day celebration on 3 August.

Source: Telegeography.

Friday, September 19, 2008 10:44:25 AM (W. Europe Standard Time, UTC+01:00)  #     | 
 Monday, September 15, 2008

3G Now Almost Four-Fifths of Japan's Subscriber Base

Softbank’s run of market-leading performances for monthly net additions has reached an astounding 16 months, with August the fourth month in a row in which it was the only operator to record a six-figure gain. It did not quite match the level of dominance achieved in June and July, when it took more than half of the total net additions in the market, but the August share of 42.2% was nonetheless impressive. In real terms, Softbank’s monthly gain was 163.6k, which took its total subscriber base to 19.49m.

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Japan has the highest percentage of 3G users anywhere in the world, and at the end of August almost four-fifths of the total customer base had either W- CDMA or CDMA2000 1x EV-DO handsets. On an annual basis, the 3G base grew by 25.6% to just below 83.40m, which represents 79.9% of the total. DoCoMo dominates the 3G sector with 55.1% market share at the end of August, while KDDI has 24.8% and Softbank 19.1%.

Although eMobile operates solely on the W-CDMA standard, its share of the 3G market remains below 1%, with just 0.9% 15 months after its launch.

Source: Cellular News.

Monday, September 15, 2008 2:00:13 PM (W. Europe Standard Time, UTC+01:00)  #     | 
 Wednesday, September 10, 2008

The United Nations Foundation and Vodafone Foundation’s Technology Partnership (Technology Partnership) are expanding their mobile health (mHealth) program in Africa. Working with the World Health Organization (WHO) and the non-profit DataDyne.org, the Technology Partnership will expand the use of EpiSurveyor, an open-source application that helps healthcare workers track health data, to 22 sub-Saharan countries by the end of 2008.

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“Technology has a major role to play in enabling the international community to meet the UN Millennium Development Goals for health, including reducing child and maternal mortality,” said Andrew Dunnett, director of The Vodafone Foundation. “This program is designed to bring innovative use of technology to bear in helping the United Nations and the worldwide community overcome some of the greatest public health challenges we face today.”

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Source: Cellular News.

Wednesday, September 10, 2008 9:34:24 AM (W. Europe Standard Time, UTC+01:00)  #     | 
 Monday, September 08, 2008

According to a report from RNCOS, the total number of 3G subscribers using WCDMA and CDMA2000 grew 45% in 2007 over the previous year to cross the mark of 600 million. The rise in the number of 3G subscribers during 2007 was due to attractive features of 3G technology, such as effective and high data speed and a wide range of mobile applications offered, including wireless Internet access, video conferencing, etc.

According to the report, CDMA2000 accounts for majority of the subscribers in the total 3G subscriber base as countries like Japan, Korea and the US have rapidly embraced the technology. The same trend is anticipated to sustain in near future but WCDMA will witness higher growth rate in its subscriber base. Thus, the total number of 3G subscribers using CDMA2000 technology worldwide is expected to grow at a CAGR of 23% during 2008-2010.

Apparently, the growth in CDMA2000 standard will continue to dominate the global 3G subscribers market but Western Europe will exhibit a different trend where the WCDMA technology remains the focus of its 3G market, says the report.

Moreover, the launch of HSDPA (High Speed Downlink Packet Access), a technology that improves the downlink performance of WCDMA networks, is likely to increase the demand for WCDMA technology in near future. The number of WCDMA subscribers will surge at a CAGR of 50.7% during the period spanning from 2008 to 2010.

Source: Cellular News.

Monday, September 08, 2008 8:03:39 AM (W. Europe Standard Time, UTC+01:00)  #     | 
 Friday, September 05, 2008

According to new data from TeleGeography, international Internet traffic grew 53% between mid-2007 and mid-2008, down from 61% the preceding year. Traffic growth between the US and Latin America was especially fast, surging 112%. In contrast, traffic on internet backbones between major cities in the relatively more mature US market rose a modest 47%.

For the second consecutive year, total international Internet capacity grew faster than total Internet traffic, leading to lower utilisation levels on many internet backbones. Between 2007 and 2008 average traffic utilisation levels decreased from 31% to 29%, while peak utilisation fell from 44% to 43%. The aggregate trend toward lower utilisation of capacity belies significant regional differences. While utilisation on international links to Europe and Asia fell in 2008, they rose in the US & Canada and Latin American where traffic growth outpaced the deployment of new internet bandwidth.

Traffic growth has remained strong, even though the pace of broadband subscriber growth has declined. 'Broadband subscriber growth has been slowing since 2001, but the volume of traffic generated by each user grown,' said TeleGeography Director of Research Alan Mauldin. 'Traffic growth is fueled by consumer demand for video, delivered via web browsers, peer-to-peer services, or streaming protocols.'

TeleGeography's Global Internet Geography provides in-depth analysis of international and US domestic Internet backbone capacity, traffic and pricing.

To download the executive summary of TeleGeography's Global Internet Geography study, please visit:
http://www.telegeography.com/products/gig/index.php.

Source: TeleGeography.

Friday, September 05, 2008 12:21:28 PM (W. Europe Standard Time, UTC+01:00)  #     |