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 Tuesday, April 29, 2008

According to an updated forecast from SNL Kagan, the USA's cable industry is positioned to continue market share growth in the residential phone business, but the gains could prove tenuous in this increasingly dynamic segment.

The SNL Kagan analysis illustrates the telcos' loosening grip on the market and the opportunity created for alternative services. In the past two years, the telcos' share has dwindled from 90% to 74% of total connections, with the five-year outlook estimating another 23% drop. The main competition in the space has come from the increased availability of IP voice services from cable operators coinciding with the phase-out of older switched-circuit technology. SNL Kagan projects a steady increase in IP voice subscribers, reaching 31.4 million in 2012, putting cable's market share at 26%. The 10-year forecast shows cable penetration of homes passed stabilizing at 27%.

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Source: Cellular News.