Wireless Standards and Applications: Industrial Strategies and Government Policy by Peter COWHEY and Jonathan ARONSON
This paper explores the network architecture of future and the pattern of innovation tied to it. It argues that there is a struggle underway among regions and industry segments to control the value-added for the next generation of ICT architecture Five Dimensions of the unfolding space are assessed: (1) cost per bit of applications; (2) the speed of the broadband network; (3) which type of communications will dominate - voice or data, human or machine-to-machine; (4) who will be the innovation leaders; (5) how convergent will the networks of the future be. Various dimensions of policy are investigated related to innovation policy, competition policy, and international coordination. The paper compares the US fragmented innovation model, the EU model of elevating the application while commoditizing the platform, and the more interventionist models of the Northeast Asia troika of China, Korea and Japan. The paper concludes that no single model for 4G is likely to emerge. Driven by platform battles, the US will have the least integrated broadband approach. The EU will rely on coordinated innovation a competitive EU market marked by strong lead users in the â€œpublicâ€ sector. The northeast Asian troika will likely be depend on low-priced, highspeed networking to nurture export products while building on the special strengths of their mass consumer markets.
From USC Annenberg School via Ewan Sutherland's weblog.